Photo via FreightWaves
According to market intelligence firm Xeneta, escalating tensions in the Middle East are expected to exert upward pressure on global air cargo rates throughout 2026. The analysis reflects growing concerns that regional instability could disrupt supply chains and prompt shippers to rely more heavily on air freight despite higher costs, ultimately pushing rates upward by as much as 15 percent.
The forecast underscores how geopolitical events can ripple through logistics and transportation markets. When conflict threatens traditional shipping corridors or creates uncertainty around maritime routes, businesses often turn to expedited air transport to ensure timely delivery of goods, driving increased demand that typically translates to higher pricing across the sector.
For shippers and logistics companies, the projected rate increases represent a significant cost variable to monitor and plan for. Industry participants may need to reassess their transportation strategies and hedging approaches as they navigate potential supply chain disruptions linked to regional developments.
